Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 16/08, 19:00
Prediction: Rinky Hijikata vs Jakub Mensik
Team pages: Rinky Hijikata · Jakub Mensik
Prediction summary
Winner
Rinky Hijikata
Jakub Mensik
Estimated games
27.3Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rinky Hijikata
4-6 (W-L)
Jakub Mensik
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rinky Hijikata 1513 · Jakub Mensik 1555
| Rinky Hijikata | Jakub Mensik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jakub Mensik (rating 1513 vs 1555).
- Note: Jakub Mensik makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Rinky Hijikata | Jakub Mensik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.3 | 1.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.2-13.8 | 16.1-15.5 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 13.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 77.8% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 31.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.3 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +5.8
Over 21.5: 85% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 15% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rinky Hijikata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Gael Monfils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/08 | Jaume Munar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Jesper De Jong Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 26-27 | L |
| 19/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 16/06 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Marcos Giron ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 13/06 | Dino Prizmic ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Jakub Mensik
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 12/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Terence Atmane ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Trevor Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Grigor Dimitrov Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 20-24 | L |
| 30/06 | Toby Samuel Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 27-25 | W |
| 16/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rinky Hijikata vs Jakub Mensik?
Our model gives 68% to Jakub Mensik, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.