Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 17/08, 17:00
Prediction: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landaluce
Team pages: Thiago Agustin Tirante · Martin Landaluce
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Martin Landaluce
Estimated games
25.6Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Agustin Tirante
6-4 (W-L)
Martin Landaluce
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Thiago Agustin Tirante
0–1
Martin Landaluce
(1 last)
- 17 Mar1-2 15-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Agustin Tirante 1551 · Martin Landaluce 1501
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Martin Landaluce | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Agustin Tirante (rating 1551 vs 1501).
- Thiago Agustin Tirante dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 40.4% break avg.
- Martin Landaluce dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 43.3% break avg.
- Thiago Agustin Tirante is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Thiago Agustin Tirante 0–1 Martin Landaluce (1).
- Note: Thiago Agustin Tirante makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Martin Landaluce | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.2-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-12.9 | 13.5-14.2 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 4 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 76% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.6 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +2.1
Over 23.5: 65% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 35% · 1.83
H2H · Thiago Agustin Tirante 0 – 1 Martin Landaluce (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thiago Agustin Tirante 0–1 Martin Landaluce
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 ATP Miami | 1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Novak Djokovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Jan Choinski ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 09/08 | Learner Tien ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Duncan Chan ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Fabian Marozsan Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Toby Samuel ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Martin Landaluce
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Jack Draper ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Michael Zheng ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 15/06 | Terence Atmane ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Tom Gentzsch ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 11/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landaluce?
Our model gives 55% to Thiago Agustin Tirante, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.