Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 17/08, 17:00
Prediction: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli
Team pages: Alexander Blockx · Flavio Cobolli
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Blockx
Flavio Cobolli
Estimated games
27.5Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Blockx
4-6 (W-L)
Flavio Cobolli
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexander Blockx
1–0
Flavio Cobolli
(1 last)
- 08 Apr2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Blockx 1528 · Flavio Cobolli 1491
| Alexander Blockx | Flavio Cobolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alexander Blockx 1–0 Flavio Cobolli (1).
- Note: Alexander Blockx makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Blockx | Flavio Cobolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.4 | 1.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-14.8 | 16-17.3 |
| Aces | 8.2 | 8.8 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 31.2% | 35.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.5 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +4
Over 23.5: 76% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 24% · 1.83
H2H · Alexander Blockx 1 – 0 Flavio Cobolli (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexander Blockx 1–0 Flavio Cobolli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/26 ATP Monte Carlo | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Blockx
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 24/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Titouan Droguet ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 23-26 | L |
| 24/05 | Coleman Wong French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 10/05 | Alexander Zverev ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Flavio Cobolli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Karen Khachanov Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 25-23 | W |
| 02/07 | James Duckworth Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 01/07 | Mariano Navone Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 21-21 | W |
| 15/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Alexander Zverev French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 19-28 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobolli?
Our model gives 52% to Alexander Blockx, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.