Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 16/08, 16:00
Prediction: Ugo Humbert vs Michael Zheng
Team pages: Ugo Humbert · Michael Zheng
Prediction summary
Winner
Ugo Humbert
Michael Zheng
Estimated games
24.5Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ugo Humbert
7-3 (W-L)
Michael Zheng
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ugo Humbert 1519 · Michael Zheng 1554
| Ugo Humbert | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Michael Zheng makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Ugo Humbert | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-12.7 | 13.6-11.5 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 5 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 53% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +1
Over 23.5: 57% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 43% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ugo Humbert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Ben Shelton ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Andres Martin ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Zizou Bergs Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 22-26 | L |
| 28/06 | Zizou Bergs ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/06 | Jack Draper ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Quentin Halys ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 20/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Michael Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Trevor Svajda ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Moez Echargui ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Kei Nishikori ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Martin Landaluce ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Adam Walton Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ugo Humbert vs Michael Zheng?
Our model gives 54% to Michael Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.