Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Team pages: Arthur Rinderknech · Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Rinderknech
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Estimated games
27.2Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Rinderknech
2-8 (W-L)
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arthur Rinderknech
1–0
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
(1 last)
- 01 Aug2-1 18-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Rinderknech 1469 · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1494
| Arthur Rinderknech | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 62% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Arthur Rinderknech 1–0 Juan Manuel Cerundolo (1).
- Note: Arthur Rinderknech makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Arthur Rinderknech | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.6 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 17.6-16.9 | 11.6-12.4 |
| Aces | 18.6 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 80.1% | 75% |
| Break % | 37% | 33.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.2 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +4.7
Over 22.5: 79% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 21% · 1.90
H2H · Arthur Rinderknech 1 – 0 Juan Manuel Cerundolo (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arthur Rinderknech 1–0 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/23 ATP Kitzbuhel | 2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Rinderknech
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 05/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Clement Tabur ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 03/07 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-21 | L |
| 01/07 | Martin Damm Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-23 | W |
| 16/06 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Mark Lajal ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Casper Ruud ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Casper Ruud ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Zdenek Kolar ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 25/06 | Toby Samuel ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
Our model gives 55% to Arthur Rinderknech, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.