Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Yannick Hanfmann vs Arthur Fils
Team pages: Yannick Hanfmann · Arthur Fils
Prediction summary
Winner
Yannick Hanfmann
Arthur Fils
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yannick Hanfmann
8-2 (W-L)
Arthur Fils
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yannick Hanfmann
0–1
Arthur Fils
(1 last)
- 08 Apr0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yannick Hanfmann 1559 · Arthur Fils 1534
| Yannick Hanfmann | Arthur Fils | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yannick Hanfmann dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 42.7% break avg.
- Arthur Fils dominates on serve: 6 aces and 40.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Yannick Hanfmann 0–1 Arthur Fils (1).
Statistics
| Yannick Hanfmann | Arthur Fils | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.9 | 12.5-10.7 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 6 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 76% | 78% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 50% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 50% · 1.83
H2H · Yannick Hanfmann 0 – 1 Arthur Fils (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yannick Hanfmann 0–1 Arthur Fils
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/24 ATP Monte Carlo | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yannick Hanfmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Arthur Fils
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Cameron Norrie ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Zachary Svajda ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/07 | Rafael Jodar ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Matteo Berrettini Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 30/06 | Raphael Collignon Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-9 | W |
| 01/05 | Jannik Sinner ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/04 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yannick Hanfmann vs Arthur Fils?
Our model gives 60% to Arthur Fils, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.