Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Jiri Lehecka vs Matteo Berrettini
Team pages: Jiri Lehecka · Matteo Berrettini
Prediction summary
Winner
Jiri Lehecka
Matteo Berrettini
Estimated games
29Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jiri Lehecka
8-2 (W-L)
Matteo Berrettini
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jiri Lehecka 1537 · Matteo Berrettini 1560
| Jiri Lehecka | Matteo Berrettini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Matteo Berrettini dominates on serve: 12.8 aces and 42.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Jiri Lehecka | Matteo Berrettini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-1 | 2.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.3-12.7 | 20.4-18.3 |
| Aces | 10.2 | 12.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 77.1% | 80% |
| Break % | 35.9% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
29 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +5.5
Over 23.5: 83% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 17% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jiri Lehecka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Alexander Blockx ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Vit Kopriva ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-23 | L |
| 04/07 | Jaume Munar Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-18 | W |
| 02/07 | Alex Molcan Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexei Popyrin Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Matteo Berrettini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 04/07 | Grigor Dimitrov Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 23-26 | L |
| 02/07 | Arthur Fils Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-18 | W |
| 30/06 | Stan Wawrinka Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 27-25 | W |
| 01/06 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 20-15 | W |
| 30/05 | Francisco Comesana French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 31-30 | W |
| 28/05 | Arthur Rinderknech French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/05 | Marton Fucsovics French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 25-15 | W |
| 14/05 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jiri Lehecka vs Matteo Berrettini?
Our model gives 52% to Jiri Lehecka, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.