Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Quentin Halys vs Alex De Minaur
Team pages: Quentin Halys · Alex De Minaur
Prediction summary
Winner
Quentin Halys
Alex De Minaur
Estimated games
24.2Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Quentin Halys
7-3 (W-L)
Alex De Minaur
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Quentin Halys
2–0
Alex De Minaur
(2 last)
- 25 Mar2-1 20-19W
- 20 May2-1 19-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quentin Halys 1626 · Alex De Minaur 1528
| Quentin Halys | Alex De Minaur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quentin Halys (rating 1626 vs 1528).
- Quentin Halys is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Quentin Halys 2–0 Alex De Minaur (2).
Statistics
| Quentin Halys | Alex De Minaur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-10.9 | 14.6-11.9 |
| Aces | 11.4 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 84.6% | 72.7% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.7
Over 22.5: 62% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 38% · 1.80
H2H · Quentin Halys 2 – 0 Alex De Minaur (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Quentin Halys 2–0 Alex De Minaur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/23 ATP Miami | 2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 20/05/17 ATP Lyon Qual | 2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quentin Halys
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Vit Kopriva ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Soonwoo Kwon ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 25/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Mariano Navone ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Laslo Djere ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Alex De Minaur
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Cameron Norrie ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 05/08 | James Duckworth ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-20 | L |
| 04/07 | Zachary Svajda Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Adrian Mannarino Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Roman Andres Burruchaga Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quentin Halys vs Alex De Minaur?
Our model gives 56% to Alex De Minaur, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.