Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherot
Team pages: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · Valentin Vacherot
Prediction summary
Winner
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Valentin Vacherot
Estimated games
25.3Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
5-5 (W-L)
Valentin Vacherot
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
0–1
Valentin Vacherot
(1 last)
- 04 Feb1-2 15-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 1515 · Valentin Vacherot 1497
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Valentin Vacherot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 0–1 Valentin Vacherot (1).
Statistics
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Valentin Vacherot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.4-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.2 | 14.5-14.4 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.3 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +3.8
Over 21.5: 75% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 25% · 1.90
H2H · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 0 – 1 Valentin Vacherot (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 0–1 Valentin Vacherot
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/24 Davis Cup | 1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Juncheng Shang ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/07 | Stefano Travaglia ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Miguel Damas ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-24 | L |
| 21/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Valentin Vacherot
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 26/05 | Thomas Faurel French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 24/04 | Emilio Nava ATP Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 11/04 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Alex De Minaur ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/04 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/04 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherot?
Our model gives 60% to Valentin Vacherot, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.