Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 14/08, 20:00
Prediction: Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Alexander Shevchenko
Team pages: Botic Van De Zandschulp · Alexander Shevchenko
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Prediction summary
Winner
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Alexander Shevchenko
Estimated games
24.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Botic Van De Zandschulp
5-5 (W-L)
Alexander Shevchenko
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Botic Van De Zandschulp
1–1
Alexander Shevchenko
(2 last)
- 01 Apr2-0 13-6W
- 27 Sept0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1515 · Alexander Shevchenko 1482
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Alexander Shevchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 60.4% break avg.
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | Alexander Shevchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.4 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-14.2 | 11.5-12.6 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 5 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 75.2% |
| Break % | 60.4% | 32.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.1
Over 22.5: 65% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 35% · 1.83
H2H · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1 – 1 Alexander Shevchenko (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1–1 Alexander Shevchenko
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/26 ATP Bucharest | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/09/23 ATP Astana | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 06/08 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Roman Safiullin Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-26 | L |
| 29/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Alexander Shevchenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Dominic Stephan Stricker ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Alexandre Muller ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Alexander Shevchenko?
Our model gives 61% to Botic Van De Zandschulp, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.