Tennis · Challenger Astana · 15/08, 08:00
Prediction: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoyun Sultanov
Team pages: Hayato Matsuoka · Khumoyun Sultanov
Prediction summary
Winner
Hayato Matsuoka
Khumoyun Sultanov
Estimated games
21.2Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hayato Matsuoka
8-2 (W-L)
Khumoyun Sultanov
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hayato Matsuoka
0–1
Khumoyun Sultanov
(1 last)
- 30 May0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hayato Matsuoka 1567 · Khumoyun Sultanov 1569
| Hayato Matsuoka | Khumoyun Sultanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Hayato Matsuoka 0–1 Khumoyun Sultanov (1).
Statistics
| Hayato Matsuoka | Khumoyun Sultanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.9 | 13.1-9.2 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 4 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75.5% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 35% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.3
Over 22.5: 41% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 59% · 1.83
H2H · Hayato Matsuoka 0 – 1 Khumoyun Sultanov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hayato Matsuoka 0–1 Khumoyun Sultanov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/24 M15 Kursumlijska Banja | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hayato Matsuoka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Fajing Sun Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | James Trotter Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Khumoyun Sultanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/08 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Aleksandr Braynin Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Dominik Recek Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Karl Friberg M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Paul Jubb M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Jim Hendrikx M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoyun Sultanov?
Our model gives 53% to Hayato Matsuoka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.