Tennis · Challenger Astana · 14/08, 07:00
Prediction: Sergey Fomin vs Masamichi Imamura
Team pages: Sergey Fomin · Masamichi Imamura
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergey Fomin
Masamichi Imamura
Estimated games
21.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sergey Fomin
6-4 (W-L)
Masamichi Imamura
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergey Fomin 1486 · Masamichi Imamura 1521
| Sergey Fomin | Masamichi Imamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Sergey Fomin dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 40.3% break avg.
- Note: Sergey Fomin makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Sergey Fomin | Masamichi Imamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.5 | 9.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 29.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.2
Over 22.5: 42% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 58% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergey Fomin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Alberto Lim Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Bill Chan Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Mircea-Alexandru Jecan Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Masamichi Imamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Darian King Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/07 | James Tracy Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/07 | James McCabe Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergey Fomin vs Masamichi Imamura?
Our model gives 52% to Masamichi Imamura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.