Tennis · Challenger Astana · 14/08, 07:00
Prediction: Khumoyun Sultanov vs Mert Alkaya
Team pages: Khumoyun Sultanov · Mert Alkaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Khumoyun Sultanov
Mert Alkaya
Estimated games
21.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Khumoyun Sultanov
7-3 (W-L)
Mert Alkaya
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Khumoyun Sultanov 1564 · Mert Alkaya 1518
| Khumoyun Sultanov | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Khumoyun Sultanov (rating 1564 vs 1518).
Statistics
| Khumoyun Sultanov | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-9.1 | 10.9-10.1 |
| Aces | 4 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.2
Over 22.5: 42% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 58% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Khumoyun Sultanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/08 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Aleksandr Braynin Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Dominik Recek Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Karl Friberg M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Paul Jubb M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Jim Hendrikx M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 28/06 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Mert Alkaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Akira Santillan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Khumoyun Sultanov vs Mert Alkaya?
Our model gives 53% to Khumoyun Sultanov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.