Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng
Team pages: Fabian Marozsan · Michael Zheng
Prediction summary
Winner
Fabian Marozsan
Michael Zheng
Estimated games
24.2Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Fabian Marozsan
6-4 (W-L)
Michael Zheng
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fabian Marozsan 1528 · Michael Zheng 1560
| Fabian Marozsan | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Fabian Marozsan | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.4 | 13.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 33.2% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.7
Over 22.5: 62% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 38% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fabian Marozsan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 6-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Thiago Agustin Tirante Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Alex Molcan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 18/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Michael Zheng
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Trevor Svajda ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Moez Echargui ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Kei Nishikori ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Martin Landaluce ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Adam Walton Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng?
Our model gives 55% to Michael Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.