Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksby
Team pages: Jaime Faria · Jenson Brooksby
Prediction summary
Winner
Jaime Faria
Jenson Brooksby
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jaime Faria
7-3 (W-L)
Jenson Brooksby
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jaime Faria
0–1
Jenson Brooksby
(1 last)
- 25 May1-3 12-21L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaime Faria 1529 · Jenson Brooksby 1524
| Jaime Faria | Jenson Brooksby | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jaime Faria dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 44.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Jaime Faria 0–1 Jenson Brooksby (1).
- Note: Jaime Faria makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Jaime Faria | Jenson Brooksby | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-13.1 | 11.6-9.9 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.3
Over 22.5: 59% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 41% · 1.83
H2H · Jaime Faria 0 – 1 Jenson Brooksby (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jaime Faria 0–1 Jenson Brooksby
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/25 French Open | 1-3 | 12-21 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaime Faria
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Yibing Wu ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Casper Ruud ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Stan Wawrinka ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Zizou Bergs Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-23 | L |
Jenson Brooksby
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Adam Walton ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Corentin Moutet ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Ignacio Buse Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Aleksandar Vukic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksby?
Our model gives 53% to Jenson Brooksby, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.