Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti
Team pages: Hamad Medjedovic · Marco Trungelliti
Prediction summary
Winner
Hamad Medjedovic
Marco Trungelliti
Estimated games
26.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hamad Medjedovic
5-5 (W-L)
Marco Trungelliti
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hamad Medjedovic
1–0
Marco Trungelliti
(1 last)
- 13 Apr2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hamad Medjedovic 1516 · Marco Trungelliti 1470
| Hamad Medjedovic | Marco Trungelliti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hamad Medjedovic (rating 1516 vs 1470).
- Head-to-head: Hamad Medjedovic 1–0 Marco Trungelliti (1).
- Note: Marco Trungelliti makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Hamad Medjedovic | Marco Trungelliti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.5 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-14.7 | 13.9-13.8 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 70% |
| Break % | 24.5% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +4.1
Over 22.5: 77% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 23% · 1.80
H2H · Hamad Medjedovic 1 – 0 Marco Trungelliti (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hamad Medjedovic 1–0 Marco Trungelliti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/26 ATP Barcelona | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hamad Medjedovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Sebastian Ofner Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-23 | L |
| 19/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 27/05 | Casper Ruud French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 24/05 | Yannick Hanfmann French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 24-18 | W |
| 12/05 | Martin Landaluce ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Mariano Navone ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/05 | Joao Fonseca ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 07/05 | Valentin Royer ATP Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Marco Trungelliti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Kei Nishikori ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Martin Damm Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 25-27 | L |
| 22/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 21/06 | Giles Hussey ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti?
Our model gives 63% to Hamad Medjedovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.