Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Christopher O'Connell vs Kamil Majchrzak
Team pages: Christopher O'Connell · Kamil Majchrzak
Prediction summary
Winner
Christopher O'Connell
Kamil Majchrzak
Estimated games
24.7Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Christopher O'Connell
5-5 (W-L)
Kamil Majchrzak
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Christopher O'Connell
0–1
Kamil Majchrzak
(1 last)
- 22 Oct0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Christopher O'Connell 1546 · Kamil Majchrzak 1531
| Christopher O'Connell | Kamil Majchrzak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Kamil Majchrzak dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 41.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Christopher O'Connell 0–1 Kamil Majchrzak (1).
Statistics
| Christopher O'Connell | Kamil Majchrzak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 80% (5) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.7 | 13.4-12 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 79% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +1.2
Over 23.5: 59% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 41% · 1.80
H2H · Christopher O'Connell 0 – 1 Kamil Majchrzak (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Christopher O'Connell 0–1 Kamil Majchrzak
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/22 Challenger Busan | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Christopher O'Connell
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Dane Sweeny ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 03/08 | James Duckworth ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Andres Martin ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Bernard Tomic Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Joel Schwaerzler Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Kamil Majchrzak
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Gael Monfils ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Taylor Fritz ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Tommy Paul ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Zachary Svajda Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 22-26 | L |
| 30/06 | Alejandro Tabilo Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Alex De Minaur ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 13/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | James McCabe ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Christopher O'Connell vs Kamil Majchrzak?
Our model gives 57% to Kamil Majchrzak, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.