Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Jeffrey John Wolf vs James Duckworth
Team pages: Jeffrey John Wolf · James Duckworth
Prediction summary
Winner
Jeffrey John Wolf
James Duckworth
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jeffrey John Wolf
8-2 (W-L)
James Duckworth
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jeffrey John Wolf
0–1
James Duckworth
(1 last)
- 02 Jan0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jeffrey John Wolf 1630 · James Duckworth 1482
| Jeffrey John Wolf | James Duckworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jeffrey John Wolf (rating 1630 vs 1482).
- Jeffrey John Wolf dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 52% break avg.
- Jeffrey John Wolf is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Jeffrey John Wolf 0–1 James Duckworth (1).
Statistics
| Jeffrey John Wolf | James Duckworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.6 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-10.8 | 12.8-13.4 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 77.7% | 77.4% |
| Break % | 52% | 29.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.4
Over 22.5: 60% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 40% · 1.83
H2H · Jeffrey John Wolf 0 – 1 James Duckworth (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeffrey John Wolf 0–1 James Duckworth
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/24 ATP Brisbane | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeffrey John Wolf
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/08 | Mark Lajal Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/07 | Coleman Wong Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Colton Smith Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
James Duckworth
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Cameron Norrie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Aidan Mayo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 30/06 | Tallon Griekspoor Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 20/06 | Giles Hussey ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeffrey John Wolf vs James Duckworth?
Our model gives 68% to Jeffrey John Wolf, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.