Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luca Van Assche
Team pages: Yannick Hanfmann · Luca Van Assche
Prediction summary
Winner
Yannick Hanfmann
Luca Van Assche
Estimated games
25.2Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yannick Hanfmann
7-3 (W-L)
Luca Van Assche
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yannick Hanfmann
1–0
Luca Van Assche
(1 last)
- 17 Mar2-1 17-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yannick Hanfmann 1538 · Luca Van Assche 1581
| Yannick Hanfmann | Luca Van Assche | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luca Van Assche (rating 1538 vs 1581).
- Head-to-head: Yannick Hanfmann 1–0 Luca Van Assche (1).
- Note: Luca Van Assche makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Yannick Hanfmann | Luca Van Assche | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.8-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.1 | 15-12.7 |
| Aces | 8.1 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 67% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 58% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.2 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +1.7
Over 23.5: 62% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 38% · 1.83
H2H · Yannick Hanfmann 1 – 0 Luca Van Assche (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yannick Hanfmann 1–0 Luca Van Assche
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 ATP Miami | 2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yannick Hanfmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Karen Khachanov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
Luca Van Assche
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Gustavo Heide ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 26/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 25/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Titouan Droguet ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yannick Hanfmann vs Luca Van Assche?
Our model gives 51% to Luca Van Assche, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.