Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 15/08, 17:00
Prediction: Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navone
Team pages: Alexander Blockx · Mariano Navone
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Blockx
Mariano Navone
Estimated games
25.9Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Blockx
3-7 (W-L)
Mariano Navone
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexander Blockx
0–1
Mariano Navone
(1 last)
- 14 Mar1-2 15-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Blockx 1519 · Mariano Navone 1502
| Alexander Blockx | Mariano Navone | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alexander Blockx 0–1 Mariano Navone (1).
- Note: Alexander Blockx makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Blockx | Mariano Navone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.5 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.6-15.5 | 12.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 2 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 34.6% | 31.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.9 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +2.4
Over 23.5: 66% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 34% · 1.83
H2H · Alexander Blockx 0 – 1 Mariano Navone (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexander Blockx 0–1 Mariano Navone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Challenger Cap Cana | 1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Blockx
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 24/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Titouan Droguet ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 23-26 | L |
| 24/05 | Coleman Wong French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 10/05 | Alexander Zverev ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Mariano Navone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Raphael Collignon ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 03/08 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Alexandre Muller ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Stefano Travaglia ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-21 | L |
| 21/06 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navone?
Our model gives 54% to Alexander Blockx, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.