Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 15/08, 17:00
Prediction: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobolli
Team pages: Miomir Kecmanovic · Flavio Cobolli
Prediction summary
Winner
Miomir Kecmanovic
Flavio Cobolli
Estimated games
29.5Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Miomir Kecmanovic
6-4 (W-L)
Flavio Cobolli
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Miomir Kecmanovic
1–2
Flavio Cobolli
(3 last)
- 06 Mar1-2 13-15L
- 28 Feb1-2 16-16L
- 18 Oct2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miomir Kecmanovic 1477 · Flavio Cobolli 1521
| Miomir Kecmanovic | Flavio Cobolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flavio Cobolli (rating 1477 vs 1521).
- Head-to-head: Miomir Kecmanovic 1–2 Flavio Cobolli (3).
Statistics
| Miomir Kecmanovic | Flavio Cobolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (4) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.5 | 1.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.2-15.2 | 16.6-18.1 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 8.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 32.5% | 36.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
29.5 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +6
Over 23.5: 85% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 15% · 1.83
H2H · Miomir Kecmanovic 1 – 2 Flavio Cobolli (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miomir Kecmanovic 1–2 Flavio Cobolli
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 ATP Indian Wells | 1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/02/26 ATP Acapulco | 1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 18/10/22 ATP Naples | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miomir Kecmanovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 21/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-28 | L |
| 25/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 22/06 | Antoine Ghibaudo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Flavio Cobolli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Karen Khachanov Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 25-23 | W |
| 02/07 | James Duckworth Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 01/07 | Mariano Navone Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 21-21 | W |
| 15/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Alexander Zverev French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 19-28 | L |
| 03/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 22-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobolli?
Our model gives 54% to Flavio Cobolli, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.