Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 15/08, 17:00
Prediction: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Team pages: Novak Djokovic · Thiago Agustin Tirante
Prediction summary
Winner
Novak Djokovic
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Estimated games
30.2Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Novak Djokovic
8-2 (W-L)
Thiago Agustin Tirante
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Novak Djokovic 1558 · Thiago Agustin Tirante 1557
| Novak Djokovic | Thiago Agustin Tirante | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Novak Djokovic dominates on serve: 10.4 aces and 41.3% break avg.
- Thiago Agustin Tirante dominates on serve: 8.1 aces and 49.1% break avg.
- Note: Thiago Agustin Tirante makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Novak Djokovic | Thiago Agustin Tirante | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 83% (6) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.4-1.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 21-18.7 | 12.7-12.2 |
| Aces | 10.4 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 76.6% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 49.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
30.2 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +8.7
Over 21.5: 94% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 6% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Novak Djokovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Felix Auger Aliassime Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 29-28 | W |
| 05/07 | Roman Safiullin Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-18 | W |
| 03/07 | Arthur Rinderknech Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 21-21 | W |
| 01/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Yibing Wu Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 29/05 | Joao Fonseca French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 25-28 | L |
| 27/05 | Valentin Royer French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 24-15 | W |
| 24/05 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 24-17 | W |
| 08/05 | Dino Prizmic ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Jan Choinski ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 09/08 | Learner Tien ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Duncan Chan ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Fabian Marozsan Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Toby Samuel ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Hamish Stewart ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirante?
Our model gives 66% to Novak Djokovic, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.