Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Kyrian Jacquet vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Team pages: Kyrian Jacquet · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Prediction summary
Winner
Kyrian Jacquet
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Estimated games
24.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kyrian Jacquet
5-5 (W-L)
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kyrian Jacquet 1504 · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 1497
| Kyrian Jacquet | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kyrian Jacquet makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Kyrian Jacquet | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.2-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12 | 14-14.1 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 42% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.4
Over 22.5: 66% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 34% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kyrian Jacquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Billy Harris ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Alexander Bublik Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Juncheng Shang ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/07 | Stefano Travaglia ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Miguel Damas ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-24 | L |
| 21/06 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Moise Kouame French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 26-25 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kyrian Jacquet vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo?
Our model gives 56% to Kyrian Jacquet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.