Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Coleman Wong vs Daniel Altmaier
Team pages: Coleman Wong · Daniel Altmaier
Prediction summary
Winner
Coleman Wong
Daniel Altmaier
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Coleman Wong
6-4 (W-L)
Daniel Altmaier
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Coleman Wong
1–0
Daniel Altmaier
(1 last)
- 20 Mar2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coleman Wong 1560 · Daniel Altmaier 1496
| Coleman Wong | Daniel Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleman Wong (rating 1560 vs 1496).
- Coleman Wong dominates on serve: 8.5 aces and 44.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Coleman Wong 1–0 Daniel Altmaier (1).
Statistics
| Coleman Wong | Daniel Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10 | 12.1-12.8 |
| Aces | 8.5 | 8.7 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 78.5% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 27.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -0.7
Over 23.5: 45% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 55% · 1.80
H2H · Coleman Wong 1 – 0 Daniel Altmaier (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coleman Wong 1–0 Daniel Altmaier
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/25 ATP Miami | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coleman Wong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Otto Virtanen ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Seong Chan Hong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Darwin Blanch ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Anton Shepp Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Daniel Altmaier
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 22/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Alex Molcan Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-22 | L |
| 23/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coleman Wong vs Daniel Altmaier?
Our model gives 57% to Coleman Wong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.