Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 13/08, 18:30
Prediction: Aleksandar Vukic vs Mark Lajal
Team pages: Aleksandar Vukic · Mark Lajal
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandar Vukic
Mark Lajal
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandar Vukic
9-1 (W-L)
Mark Lajal
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandar Vukic 1583 · Mark Lajal 1568
| Aleksandar Vukic | Mark Lajal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Mark Lajal dominates on serve: 7 aces and 43.6% break avg.
- Note: Mark Lajal makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Aleksandar Vukic | Mark Lajal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-10 | 13.2-11.1 |
| Aces | 8.2 | 7 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 79.5% | 75% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 50% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 50% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandar Vukic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Darwin Blanch ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 01/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Zachary Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Alex Bolt ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 19/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Mark Lajal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Evan Zhu Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandar Vukic vs Mark Lajal?
Our model gives 55% to Aleksandar Vukic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.