Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 13/08, 17:30
Prediction: Stefan Kozlov vs Harry Wendelken
Team pages: Stefan Kozlov · Harry Wendelken
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefan Kozlov
Harry Wendelken
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Kozlov
6-4 (W-L)
Harry Wendelken
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stefan Kozlov
0–1
Harry Wendelken
(1 last)
- 13 Jan1-2 11-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Kozlov 1500 · Harry Wendelken 1447
| Stefan Kozlov | Harry Wendelken | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefan Kozlov (rating 1500 vs 1447).
- Head-to-head: Stefan Kozlov 0–1 Harry Wendelken (1).
Statistics
| Stefan Kozlov | Harry Wendelken | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (4) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-12.8 | 11.1-12.9 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 34.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
H2H · Stefan Kozlov 0 – 1 Harry Wendelken (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefan Kozlov 0–1 Harry Wendelken
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/26 Challenger Glasgow | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Kozlov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/07 | Zachary Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Leo Vithoontien Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Yibing Wu Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Harry Wendelken
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Borna Gojo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Valentin Royer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
| 20/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Adam Walton ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Kozlov vs Harry Wendelken?
Our model gives 51% to Stefan Kozlov, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.