Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 13/08, 16:00
Prediction: Lloyd Harris vs Mees Rottgering
Team pages: Lloyd Harris · Mees Rottgering
Prediction summary
Winner
Lloyd Harris
Mees Rottgering
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lloyd Harris
7-3 (W-L)
Mees Rottgering
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lloyd Harris 1512 · Mees Rottgering 1551
| Lloyd Harris | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lloyd Harris | Mees Rottgering | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.6 | 10-7.9 |
| Aces | 14.6 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 75.3% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 57.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lloyd Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Henry Searle Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Moez Echargui Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Andrea Pellegrino French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Hugo Grenier French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/04 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/03 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Marrakech · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Mees Rottgering
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Henry Searle Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Garrett Johns Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Benjamin Kittay Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Timo Legout M25 Louisville |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lloyd Harris vs Mees Rottgering?
Our model gives 55% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.