Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 12/08, 16:00
Prediction: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kyrian Jacquet
Team pages: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · Kyrian Jacquet
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Kyrian Jacquet
Estimated games
24.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
5-5 (W-L)
Kyrian Jacquet
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1462 · Kyrian Jacquet 1503
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kyrian Jacquet (rating 1462 vs 1503).
- Note: Kyrian Jacquet makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 33% (6) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.7 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-13.3 | 13.2-12.4 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 30.3% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.3
Over 22.5: 66% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 34% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Hugo Gaston ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Andrea Pellegrino ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Matej Dodig Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/06 | August Holmgren Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Kyrian Jacquet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Billy Harris ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Alexander Bublik Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Vilius Gaubas Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kyrian Jacquet?
Our model gives 60% to Kyrian Jacquet, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.