Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 12/08, 20:00
Prediction: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Titouan Droguet
Team pages: Stefanos Sakellaridis · Titouan Droguet
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Titouan Droguet
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Stefanos Sakellaridis
5-5 (W-L)
Titouan Droguet
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stefanos Sakellaridis
0–1
Titouan Droguet
(1 last)
- 18 Jun0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefanos Sakellaridis 1531 · Titouan Droguet 1575
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Titouan Droguet (rating 1531 vs 1575).
- Head-to-head: Stefanos Sakellaridis 0–1 Titouan Droguet (1).
Statistics
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 57% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.1 | 12.1-11.5 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74.5% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 40% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1
Over 22.5: 57% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 43% · 1.80
H2H · Stefanos Sakellaridis 0 – 1 Titouan Droguet (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefanos Sakellaridis 0–1 Titouan Droguet
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/26 Challenger Dublin | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefanos Sakellaridis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Martin Damm ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 24/06 | Federico Coria Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Clement Tabur Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/06 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 30/05 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Titouan Droguet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 01/08 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Titouan Droguet?
Our model gives 63% to Titouan Droguet, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.