Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 12/08, 19:00
Prediction: Trevor Svajda vs Michael Zheng
Team pages: Trevor Svajda · Michael Zheng
Prediction summary
Winner
Trevor Svajda
Michael Zheng
Estimated games
23.6Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Trevor Svajda
8-2 (W-L)
Michael Zheng
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trevor Svajda 1546 · Michael Zheng 1543
| Trevor Svajda | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Trevor Svajda | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.5 | 12.5-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 77.9% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.1
Over 21.5: 64% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 36% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trevor Svajda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Eli Stephenson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Jakub Mensik ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 26/07 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Elias Ymer ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 12/07 | Aidan Kim M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Evan Zhu M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Matthew Forbes M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Michael Zheng
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Moez Echargui ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Kei Nishikori ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Martin Landaluce ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Adam Walton Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Felix Auger Aliassime Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trevor Svajda vs Michael Zheng?
Our model gives 60% to Michael Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.