Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 12/08, 19:00
Prediction: Jaime Faria vs Yibing Wu
Team pages: Jaime Faria · Yibing Wu
Prediction summary
Winner
Jaime Faria
Yibing Wu
Estimated games
24.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jaime Faria
7-3 (W-L)
Yibing Wu
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaime Faria 1518 · Yibing Wu 1532
| Jaime Faria | Yibing Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jaime Faria makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Jaime Faria | Yibing Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.3 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-14.2 | 12.3-12 |
| Aces | 8.5 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 6 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 36% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.3
Over 22.5: 66% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 34% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaime Faria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Casper Ruud ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Stan Wawrinka ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Zizou Bergs Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-23 | L |
| 30/06 | Sho Shimabukuro Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-19 | W |
Yibing Wu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Christian Langmo Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Pavle Marinkov Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 20/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaime Faria vs Yibing Wu?
Our model gives 55% to Yibing Wu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.