Tennis · ATP Montreal · 13/08, 01:30
Prediction: Learner Tien vs Ben Shelton
Team pages: Learner Tien · Ben Shelton
Prediction summary
Winner
Learner Tien
Ben Shelton
Estimated games
25.7
Recent form · 10 last
Learner Tien
8-2 (W-L)
Ben Shelton
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Learner Tien
2–0
Ben Shelton
(2 last)
- 08 Mar2-1 17-15W
- 25 Jun2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Learner Tien 1565 · Ben Shelton 1584
| Learner Tien | Ben Shelton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Learner Tien 2–0 Ben Shelton (2).
- Note: Learner Tien makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Learner Tien | Ben Shelton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.2 | 1.8-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-12.7 | 16-13.4 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 8.7 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 78.7% |
| Break % | 33.9% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.7
H2H · Learner Tien 2 – 0 Ben Shelton (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Learner Tien 2–0 Ben Shelton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 ATP Indian Wells | 2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 25/06/25 ATP Mallorca | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Learner Tien
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Gael Monfils ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Marton Fucsovics Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 20-25 | L |
| 29/06 | Dalibor Svrcina Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 15/06 | Max Schoenhaus ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/05 | Flavio Cobolli French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
Ben Shelton
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Zizou Bergs ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 31/07 | Ugo Humbert ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Martin Damm ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 25-28 | L |
| 19/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 18/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Learner Tien vs Ben Shelton?
Our model gives 59% to Ben Shelton, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.