Tennis · ATP Montreal · 11/08, 22:00
Prediction: Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton
Team pages: Jakub Mensik · Ben Shelton
Prediction summary
Winner
Jakub Mensik
Ben Shelton
Estimated games
28.1
Recent form · 10 last
Jakub Mensik
6-4 (W-L)
Ben Shelton
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jakub Mensik
2–1
Ben Shelton
(3 last)
- 27 Apr2-0 12-5W
- 08 Jan2-1 18-17W
- 09 Mar1-2 13-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jakub Mensik 1547 · Ben Shelton 1565
| Jakub Mensik | Ben Shelton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jakub Mensik 2–1 Ben Shelton (3).
- Note: Jakub Mensik makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Jakub Mensik | Ben Shelton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-1.4 | 1.8-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 17.6-16.1 | 16.1-13.8 |
| Aces | 12.9 | 9 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 78.7% | 78.7% |
| Break % | 33.1% | 36.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
28.1
H2H · Jakub Mensik 2 – 1 Ben Shelton (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jakub Mensik 2–1 Ben Shelton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/25 ATP Madrid | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/01/25 ATP Auckland | 2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 09/03/24 ATP Indian Wells | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jakub Mensik
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Terence Atmane ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Trevor Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Grigor Dimitrov Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 20-24 | L |
| 30/06 | Toby Samuel Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 27-25 | W |
| 16/06 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 05/06 | Alexander Zverev French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 16-22 | L |
| 02/06 | Joao Fonseca French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
Ben Shelton
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Zizou Bergs ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 31/07 | Ugo Humbert ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Martin Damm ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 25-28 | L |
| 19/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 18/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton?
Our model gives 53% to Ben Shelton, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.