Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 12/08, 19:00
Prediction: Quentin Halys vs Bu Yunchaokete
Team pages: Quentin Halys · Bu Yunchaokete
Prediction summary
Winner
Quentin Halys
Bu Yunchaokete
Estimated games
24.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Quentin Halys
6-4 (W-L)
Bu Yunchaokete
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Quentin Halys
1–0
Bu Yunchaokete
(1 last)
- 27 Oct2-1 16-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quentin Halys 1597 · Bu Yunchaokete 1572
| Quentin Halys | Bu Yunchaokete | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Bu Yunchaokete dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 51.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Quentin Halys 1–0 Bu Yunchaokete (1).
Statistics
| Quentin Halys | Bu Yunchaokete | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-12.5 | 13.1-11.6 |
| Aces | 11.9 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 83.1% | 74.8% |
| Break % | 28.8% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.8
Over 22.5: 62% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 38% · 1.90
H2H · Quentin Halys 1 – 0 Bu Yunchaokete (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Quentin Halys 1–0 Bu Yunchaokete
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/24 ATP Paris | 2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quentin Halys
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Soonwoo Kwon ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 25/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Mariano Navone ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Laslo Djere ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/07 | Federico Cina ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Marcos Giron Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
Bu Yunchaokete
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Francesco Maestrelli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Colton Smith Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Yibing Wu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Evan Zhu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 09/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Clement Tabur Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Hugo Dellien Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quentin Halys vs Bu Yunchaokete?
Our model gives 54% to Quentin Halys, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.