Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Valentin Royer vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Team pages: Valentin Royer · Stefanos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentin Royer
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
24.4Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Royer
1-9 (W-L)
Stefanos Tsitsipas
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentin Royer 1499 · Stefanos Tsitsipas 1561
| Valentin Royer | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 26% | 74% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefanos Tsitsipas (rating 1499 vs 1561).
Statistics
| Valentin Royer | Stefanos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.8 | 13.6-12.6 |
| Aces | 4 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 79% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 32.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.9
Over 21.5: 70% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 30% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Royer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Taro Daniel Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 07/07 | Maximilian Neuchrist Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Harry Wendelken Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 22/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Martin Damm ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Keegan Rice ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Alex De Minaur ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Jerome Kym ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/07 | Ignacio Buse ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Royer vs Stefanos Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 67% to Stefanos Tsitsipas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.