Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakis
Team pages: Nuno Borges · Thanasi Kokkinakis
Prediction summary
Winner
Nuno Borges
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Estimated games
25.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nuno Borges
6-4 (W-L)
Thanasi Kokkinakis
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nuno Borges
2–0
Thanasi Kokkinakis
(2 last)
- 29 Aug3-0 20-14W
- 16 Mar2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nuno Borges 1537 · Thanasi Kokkinakis 1554
| Nuno Borges | Thanasi Kokkinakis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Nuno Borges dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 43.1% break avg.
- Thanasi Kokkinakis dominates on serve: 12.6 aces and 46.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Nuno Borges 2–0 Thanasi Kokkinakis (2).
Statistics
| Nuno Borges | Thanasi Kokkinakis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.9-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.9 | 16.6-13.1 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 12.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 78% | 77.7% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.6
Over 22.5: 68% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 32% · 1.83
H2H · Nuno Borges 2 – 0 Thanasi Kokkinakis (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nuno Borges 2–0 Thanasi Kokkinakis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/24 US Open | 3-0 | 20-14 | W |
| 16/03/24 Challenger Phoenix | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nuno Borges
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Orlando Luz ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Moise Kouame ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 16-20 | L |
Thanasi Kokkinakis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Adam Walton Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Evan Zhu Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexander Bublik Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 23-28 | L |
| 16/06 | Jerome Kym Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Ammar Elamin Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/06 | Harold Mayot Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 08/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/05 | Terence Atmane French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 29-23 | W |
| 11/05 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 10/05 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakis?
Our model gives 53% to Nuno Borges, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.