Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Team pages: Camilo Ugo Carabelli · Miomir Kecmanovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miomir Kecmanovic
Estimated games
26.1Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2-8 (W-L)
Miomir Kecmanovic
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0–1
Miomir Kecmanovic
(1 last)
- 15 May0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Camilo Ugo Carabelli 1506 · Miomir Kecmanovic 1490
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Miomir Kecmanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Camilo Ugo Carabelli 0–1 Miomir Kecmanovic (1).
Statistics
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Miomir Kecmanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.4 | 1.4-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.2-14.7 | 14.3-16.1 |
| Aces | 5 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 30.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.1 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +4.6
Over 21.5: 79% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 21% · 1.80
H2H · Camilo Ugo Carabelli 0 – 1 Miomir Kecmanovic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Camilo Ugo Carabelli 0–1 Miomir Kecmanovic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Challenger Valencia | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Cameron Norrie ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Titouan Droguet ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Marko Topo ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 27/05 | Andrey Rublev French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 16-20 | L |
| 25/05 | Emilio Nava French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 21/05 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 20/05 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/05 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Miomir Kecmanovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 21/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 21-28 | L |
| 25/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 22/06 | Antoine Ghibaudo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Miomir Kecmanovic?
Our model gives 63% to Miomir Kecmanovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.