Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 14/08, 17:00
Prediction: Sara Bejlek vs Karolina Pliskova
Team pages: Sara Bejlek · Karolina Pliskova
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Bejlek
Karolina Pliskova
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Bejlek
5-5 (W-L)
Karolina Pliskova
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sara Bejlek
0–1
Karolina Pliskova
(1 last)
- 16 Jun1-2 14-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Bejlek 1517 · Karolina Pliskova 1521
| Sara Bejlek | Karolina Pliskova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Sara Bejlek 0–1 Karolina Pliskova (1).
- Note: Karolina Pliskova makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Sara Bejlek | Karolina Pliskova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.5 | 10.7-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 60.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Sara Bejlek 0 – 1 Karolina Pliskova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sara Bejlek 0–1 Karolina Pliskova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/26 WTA Nottingham | 1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Bejlek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Clara Tauson WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Sorana Cirstea Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Laura Siegemund WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Karolina Pliskova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Iga Swiatek Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Tereza Valentova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Caty McNally WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Sara Bejlek WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Donna Vekic WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/06 | McCartney Kessler WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Bejlek vs Karolina Pliskova?
Our model gives 52% to Sara Bejlek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.