Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 21/08, 17:00
Prediction: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyuk
Team pages: Coco Gauff · Marta Kostyuk
Prediction summary
Winner
Coco Gauff
Marta Kostyuk
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Coco Gauff
6-4 (W-L)
Marta Kostyuk
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Coco Gauff
2–2
Marta Kostyuk
(4 last)
- 11 Feb0-2 7-13L
- 10 Oct2-0 12-5W
- 19 Apr1-2 16-16L
- 23 Jan2-1 19-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coco Gauff 1585 · Marta Kostyuk 1575
| Coco Gauff | Marta Kostyuk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Coco Gauff makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Coco Gauff | Marta Kostyuk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 86% (7) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-9.5 | 12.9-9.1 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 63.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Coco Gauff 2 – 2 Marta Kostyuk (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coco Gauff 2–2 Marta Kostyuk
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/25 WTA Doha | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/10/24 WTA Wuhan | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/04/24 WTA Stuttgart | 1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 23/01/24 Australian Open Women | 2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coco Gauff
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Ann Li WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 09/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Maria Sakkari WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Kayla Day WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Belinda Bencic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Marta Kostyuk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Sofia Kenin WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 08/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Madison Keys WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Katherine Sebov WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Emma Navarro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyuk?
Our model gives 54% to Coco Gauff, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.