Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 20/08, 17:00
Prediction: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegula
Team pages: Amanda Anisimova · Jessica Pegula
Prediction summary
Winner
Amanda Anisimova
Jessica Pegula
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Amanda Anisimova
6-4 (W-L)
Jessica Pegula
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Amanda Anisimova
1–6
Jessica Pegula
(7 last)
- 20 Feb1-2 13-13L
- 28 Jan0-2 8-13L
- 09 Dec2-0 13-7W
- 07 Dec1-2 20-20L
- 13 Aug1-2 10-14L
- 03 Apr1-2 16-16L
- 24 Aug0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amanda Anisimova 1536 · Jessica Pegula 1595
| Amanda Anisimova | Jessica Pegula | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jessica Pegula (rating 1536 vs 1595).
- Head-to-head: Amanda Anisimova 1–6 Jessica Pegula (7).
- Note: Amanda Anisimova makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Amanda Anisimova | Jessica Pegula | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.7 | 12.6-9.4 |
| Aces | 5 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 61.3% | 55.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Amanda Anisimova 1 – 6 Jessica Pegula (7)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Amanda Anisimova 1–6 Jessica Pegula
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/26 WTA Dubai | 1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 28/01/26 Australian Open Women | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/12/25 Others | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/12/25 Others | 1-2 | 20-20 | L |
| 13/08/24 WTA Toronto | 1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 03/04/24 WTA Charleston | 1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 24/08/20 WTA New York | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amanda Anisimova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Linda Noskova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Madison Keys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Sofia Kenin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Lina Gjorcheska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Iva Jovic WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Laura Siegemund WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Jessica Pegula
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Emma Navarro WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Simona Waltert WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Magdalena Frech WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Magdalena Frech WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegula?
Our model gives 56% to Jessica Pegula, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.