Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 12/08, 17:30
Prediction: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Leolia Jeanjean
Team pages: Lucrezia Stefanini · Leolia Jeanjean
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucrezia Stefanini
Leolia Jeanjean
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Lucrezia Stefanini
7-3 (W-L)
Leolia Jeanjean
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucrezia Stefanini
1–1
Leolia Jeanjean
(2 last)
- 09 Mar2-1 19-16W
- 22 Jun1-2 12-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucrezia Stefanini 1552 · Leolia Jeanjean 1523
| Lucrezia Stefanini | Leolia Jeanjean | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Leolia Jeanjean makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Lucrezia Stefanini | Leolia Jeanjean | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-7.8 | 12.5-11.9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 54.6% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 63.8% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Lucrezia Stefanini 1 – 1 Leolia Jeanjean (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucrezia Stefanini 1–1 Leolia Jeanjean
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 WTA Austin | 2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 22/06/22 Wimbledon Women | 1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucrezia Stefanini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Sofia Kenin WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Ayana Akli W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Elizabeth Mandlik W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Anna Rogers WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Carol Zhao WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Leolia Jeanjean
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Magdalena Frech WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Lin Zhu WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Alice Tubello WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Amandine Monnot WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Daria Snigur Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Veronika Erjavec Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 25/06 | Katie Volynets Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucrezia Stefanini vs Leolia Jeanjean?
Our model gives 52% to Lucrezia Stefanini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.