Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 19/08, 17:00
Prediction: Madison Keys vs Xiyu Wang
Team pages: Madison Keys · Xiyu Wang
Prediction summary
Winner
Madison Keys
Xiyu Wang
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Madison Keys
5-5 (W-L)
Xiyu Wang
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Madison Keys
1–0
Xiyu Wang
(1 last)
- 28 Jun2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Madison Keys 1538 · Xiyu Wang 1543
| Madison Keys | Xiyu Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 76% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Madison Keys 1–0 Xiyu Wang (1).
- Note: Madison Keys makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Madison Keys | Xiyu Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.8 | 12.4-8.5 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.5% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 37% | 70.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Madison Keys 1 – 0 Xiyu Wang (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Madison Keys 1–0 Xiyu Wang
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/23 WTA Eastbourne | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madison Keys
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/08 | Daria Snigur WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Amanda Anisimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Katie Swan Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Kayla Day Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 27/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Xiyu Wang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Sara Bejlek WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Caty McNally WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Hanyu Guo Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Luisina Giovannini WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Carole Monnet WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madison Keys vs Xiyu Wang?
Our model gives 64% to Madison Keys, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.