Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 12/08, 17:00
Prediction: Lilli Tagger vs Robin Montgomery
Team pages: Lilli Tagger · Robin Montgomery
Prediction summary
Winner
Lilli Tagger
Robin Montgomery
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lilli Tagger
6-4 (W-L)
Robin Montgomery
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lilli Tagger 1606 · Robin Montgomery 1616
| Lilli Tagger | Robin Montgomery | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Robin Montgomery dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 64.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Lilli Tagger | Robin Montgomery | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 89% (9) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-8.8 | 13.9-9.3 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 76.8% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 64.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lilli Tagger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Lin Zhu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Xinyu Gao WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Marianne Argyrokastriti WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Madison Sieg WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Lanlana Tararudee Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Robin Montgomery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Julia Grabher WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Marina Bassols Ribera Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Elvina Kalieva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Caroline Dolehide Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Daria Snigur WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Greet Minnen WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/06 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Joanna Garland WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lilli Tagger vs Robin Montgomery?
Our model gives 53% to Lilli Tagger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.