Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 12/08, 16:00
Prediction: Coleman Wong vs Otto Virtanen
Team pages: Coleman Wong · Otto Virtanen
Prediction summary
Winner
Coleman Wong
Otto Virtanen
Estimated games
22.7Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Coleman Wong
6-4 (W-L)
Otto Virtanen
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Coleman Wong
0–2
Otto Virtanen
(2 last)
- 08 Feb0-2 7-13L
- 06 Jun0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coleman Wong 1555 · Otto Virtanen 1542
| Coleman Wong | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Coleman Wong dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 46.4% break avg.
- Otto Virtanen dominates on serve: 8.9 aces and 44.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Coleman Wong 0–2 Otto Virtanen (2).
Statistics
| Coleman Wong | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.2 | 14.2-13 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 8.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 79.6% | 76.7% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -0.8
Over 23.5: 44% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 56% · 1.83
H2H · Coleman Wong 0 – 2 Otto Virtanen (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coleman Wong 0–2 Otto Virtanen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Davis Cup | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/06/25 Challenger Birmingham | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coleman Wong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Seong Chan Hong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Darwin Blanch ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Anton Shepp Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Otto Virtanen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Vignesh Gogineni ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Timofey Skatov Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/07 | Dylan Dietrich ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 30/06 | Ben Shelton Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 28-25 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coleman Wong vs Otto Virtanen?
Our model gives 51% to Otto Virtanen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.