Tennis · Challenger Astana · 13/08, 07:00
Prediction: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz vs Manas Manoj Dhamne
Team pages: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz · Manas Manoj Dhamne
Prediction summary
Winner
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Manas Manoj Dhamne
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
8-2 (W-L)
Manas Manoj Dhamne
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1594 · Manas Manoj Dhamne 1510
| Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | Manas Manoj Dhamne | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (rating 1594 vs 1510).
- Mohamed Aziz Dougaz is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | Manas Manoj Dhamne | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-8.7 | 11.2-12 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 80.7% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 39% | 60.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 53% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 47% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Mirza Basic Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Alan Bojarski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 25/07 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Felipe Virgili Berini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Timofey Stepanov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Manas Manoj Dhamne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Semen Pankin Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Koray Kirci Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Miguel Damas Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/07 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mohamed Aziz Dougaz vs Manas Manoj Dhamne?
Our model gives 60% to Mohamed Aziz Dougaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.