Tennis · Challenger Astana · 13/08, 08:00

Prediction: Erik Arutiunian vs Masamichi Imamura

Team pages: Erik Arutiunian · Masamichi Imamura

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Erik Arutiunian Masamichi Imamura
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Erik Arutiunian 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLLLWWW
Masamichi Imamura 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Erik Arutiunian 1532 · Masamichi Imamura 1501
Erik ArutiunianMasamichi Imamura
Our model54%46%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Erik Arutiunian dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 49.6% break avg.

Statistics

Erik ArutiunianMasamichi Imamura
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.91.1-1.1
Games (G-P)10-109.9-10.6
Aces6.42
Double faults3.50.9
1st serve %70.8%65.9%
Break %49.6%31.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Erik Arutiunian

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Sanhui Shin
Challenger Astana · Hard
2-1 14-13 W
10/08 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Challenger Astana · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
09/08 Egor Pleshivtsev
Challenger Astana · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/08 Kenta Miyoshi
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
31/05 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Tyler · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
26/05 Justin Boulais
Challenger Little Rock · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
25/05 Bruno Kuzuhara
Challenger Little Rock · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
24/05 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Little Rock · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
11/02 Cannon Kingsley
Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
10/02 Ben Jones
Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard
2-0 12-8 W

Masamichi Imamura

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Antoine Ghibaudo
Challenger Astana · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
21/07 Roger Pascual Ferra
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
20/07 Darian King
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
19/07 James Tracy
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
15/07 James McCabe
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
05/07 Daniel Milavsky
Challenger Newport · Grass
1-2 12-18 L
29/06 Andrew Fenty
Challenger Cary · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
28/06 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Cary · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
21/06 Jake Delaney
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
20/06 Hunter Heck
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Erik Arutiunian vs Masamichi Imamura?

Our model gives 50% to Erik Arutiunian, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.