Tennis · Challenger Astana · 12/08, 07:00
Prediction: Beibit Zhukayev vs Mert Alkaya
Team pages: Beibit Zhukayev · Mert Alkaya
Prediction summary
Winner
Beibit Zhukayev
Mert Alkaya
Estimated games
22.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Beibit Zhukayev
6-4 (W-L)
Mert Alkaya
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Beibit Zhukayev 1530 · Mert Alkaya 1506
| Beibit Zhukayev | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Beibit Zhukayev | Mert Alkaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.6 | 10.2-10.6 |
| Aces | 10.8 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 76% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 30.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 48% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 52% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Beibit Zhukayev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Amir Omarkhanov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Yusuke Takahashi Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 21/04 | Liam Broady Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/04 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/04 | Sho Shimabukuro Challenger Busan · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 14/04 | Uisung Park Challenger Busan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/04 | James Duckworth Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/04 | Corentin Denolly Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/04 | Alejandro Hayen Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Mert Alkaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Akira Santillan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Beibit Zhukayev vs Mert Alkaya?
Our model gives 51% to Beibit Zhukayev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.