Tennis · Challenger Astana · 12/08, 07:00
Prediction: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Jie Cui
Team pages: Petr Bar Biryukov · Jie Cui
Prediction summary
Winner
Petr Bar Biryukov
Jie Cui
Estimated games
22.4Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Petr Bar Biryukov
6-4 (W-L)
Jie Cui
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petr Bar Biryukov 1523 · Jie Cui 1493
| Petr Bar Biryukov | Jie Cui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Petr Bar Biryukov dominates on serve: 10.9 aces and 52.8% break avg.
- Note: Petr Bar Biryukov makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Petr Bar Biryukov | Jie Cui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11 | 12.6-11.2 |
| Aces | 10.9 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 76.4% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -1.1
Over 23.5: 42% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 58% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petr Bar Biryukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Grigory Shebekin M15 Astana |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Damir Zhalgasbay M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Shunsuke Mitsui M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 20/06 | Antoine Ghibaudo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Roman Safiullin ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Jie Cui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Matthew Forbes M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Alejandro Jacome Jaramillo M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Duncan Chan M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 22/05 | Qian Sun M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 21/05 | Shixun Zhu M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petr Bar Biryukov vs Jie Cui?
Our model gives 52% to Petr Bar Biryukov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.