Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 11/08, 21:00
Prediction: Lloyd Harris vs Andrew Fenty
Team pages: Lloyd Harris · Andrew Fenty
Prediction summary
Winner
Lloyd Harris
Andrew Fenty
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lloyd Harris
7-3 (W-L)
Andrew Fenty
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lloyd Harris 1502 · Andrew Fenty 1609
| Lloyd Harris | Andrew Fenty | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrew Fenty (rating 1502 vs 1609).
- Lloyd Harris dominates on serve: 14 aces and 40.7% break avg.
- Andrew Fenty is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lloyd Harris | Andrew Fenty | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.6 | 12.3-7.1 |
| Aces | 14 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 75.3% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lloyd Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Henry Searle Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Moez Echargui Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Andrea Pellegrino French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Hugo Grenier French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/04 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/03 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Marrakech · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/03 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Marrakech · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Andrew Fenty
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Evan King Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/08 | Eli Dieveney Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Karl Poling Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Gavin Young M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Braden Shick M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Victor Tosetto M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Ozan Baris M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Lucas Marionneau M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lloyd Harris vs Andrew Fenty?
Our model gives 55% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.