Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 11/08, 22:30
Prediction: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Abedallah Shelbayh
Team pages: Quinn Vandecasteele · Abedallah Shelbayh
Prediction summary
Winner
Quinn Vandecasteele
Abedallah Shelbayh
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Quinn Vandecasteele
5-5 (W-L)
Abedallah Shelbayh
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quinn Vandecasteele 1499 · Abedallah Shelbayh 1545
| Quinn Vandecasteele | Abedallah Shelbayh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Abedallah Shelbayh (rating 1499 vs 1545).
- Quinn Vandecasteele dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 44.3% break avg.
- Note: Quinn Vandecasteele makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Abedallah Shelbayh makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Quinn Vandecasteele | Abedallah Shelbayh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11 | 12.3-11.3 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quinn Vandecasteele
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Ajeet Rai Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/08 | Patricio Alvarado Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Maxwell Exsted M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 07/07 | James Trotter Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 28/06 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Abedallah Shelbayh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Federico Cina Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Alex Bolt Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 26/07 | Martin Damm ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 25/07 | Billy Harris ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Michael Zheng Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Corentin Moutet ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quinn Vandecasteele vs Abedallah Shelbayh?
Our model gives 63% to Abedallah Shelbayh, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.